Your opening post, about Carcaroth is a reference to the messengers that were sent by Thingol to Maedhros wanting him to help search for Luthien-Mablung was the only one that remained.
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I don't have a Qualm with him being the chief captain, but his setting off to warn Turin doesn't prove at all that he is the Chief Captain.
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Mablung: Elf of Doriath, Chief Captain of Thingol
Index of Names; Published Silmarillion
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Then at Last Mablung returned to Doriath bowed with grief and shame 'Choose you a new master of your hunters lord', he said to the King 'for I am dishonored'
Narn i Hin Hurin
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But even as he cried out he saw twelve huntsman welll-armed that came over the crossings, and they were Elves and as they drew near, he knew one, for it was Mablung, chief huntsman of Thingol
Narn i Hin Hurin
Mablung is also at his seat amongst the Sindarin lords, when Turin casts the drinking vessel in Saeros's face and when Nellas comes to tell Thingol her version of Turin and Saeros’s fight.
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Remember there were people occasionally running off from Angband and succeeding and since they were not welcomed in the communities, they because outlaws.
Morgoth mainly took Elves rather then Men into thraldom, though he did take Men, he took Elves more often, because of their smith crafty, for example, whilst he and the Easterlings mainly rounded up Men to work as slaves there (As few as there were left) the Ork's took the Elves of Hithlum to Angband as described in Of Tuor and His Coming to Gondolin.
If he did escape Angband then it would have been a great...no, amazing deed, for a man, nigh impossible which would have been mentioned by Tolkien.
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Remember not all the folks of Hador were assasinated by the Swarthy Men
Guns in M-E? ;)
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It shows to us that it was possible to get in and out of Hithlum.
There was the Gate of the Noldor and that and that may have been it.
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I am only presenting a theory, which seems to me to be a very probable one.
O.K, so your theory is that C.T was right in magically assuming Mablung was dead, that Dírhavel went travelling around Ork-infested Beleriand into regions where 'mortal men shouldn't go' this is a reference to the land above Doriath where he had to go to talk to Mablung and then he somehow go to meet Mablung and remembered everything he said, after many years, or carried his notes around even though he was a outlaw, and that it is more probable then say Mablung not dieing (Tolkien never says he did) and just meeting Dírhavel at Sirion where there were refugees from Doriath and many other places, where Tolkien explicitly says he got his information about, not the north-marches of Doriath.
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Was Androg married before the tragedy at Amon Obel? I don't think so, then where did he married
Andróg was of the Wolf-group. He could not have a community for outlaws as if he lived in a community he wouldn't be a outlaw, and why would he join the wolf-group if he was married, or had a family. Andróg was said to be driven from Dor-lomin because he slew a woman, presumably he fled with his son. The whole point is Andvír was at Amon Obel and with the Wolf-man group, that’s where Dírhavel got the info on Turin's life at that stage from.
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Dirhavel's family must have been Outlaws.
Most of the outlaws and other groups would have gone to the Haven on Sirion.